International credit rating agency Fitch Ratings forecasts that Azerbaijan's economy will expand by 2% in 2026.
According to the agency, real GDP growth is expected to accelerate moderately this year following the economic growth recorded in 2025.
Fitch estimates that the impact of higher energy prices will be balanced by a prudent fiscal policy and a moderate increase in lending activity.
The agency noted that the structural decline in oil production remains one of the main challenges to economic growth over the medium term.
Fitch also projects that average annual inflation in Azerbaijan will rise to 6.1% in 2026. According to the agency, increasing logistics costs, higher food prices, and rising regulated tariffs are expected to put upward pressure on inflation.
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