Karabakh war unlikely in short term, says Russian expert

Karabakh war unlikely in short term, says Russian expert

Hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh are unlikely to resume this year, according to Russian expert Eduard Popov.

The head of the Russian Institute of Strategic Studies' Black Sea and Caspian Studies Centre said that although significant progress was not made at the last round of talks between the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents in Kazan, the talks process was nonetheless continuing.

"Despite the modest and entirely expected outcome of the meeting in Kazan, the parties to the conflict have clearly stated willingness to adhere to the negotiating process. A bad peace is better than a good quarrel," Eduard Popov said, adding that the international community would be very negative about a war in such a volatile region.

"Too many 'big' interests would be affected in such a small area. Therefore, any possible war in the near future will be hindered by the major powers. In their view, the possibility of resolving the conflict through the negotiating process has not been exhausted. This is the only correct position. But much depends on the diplomatic efforts of Yerevan and Baku.

"The parties should not let hostilities resume; otherwise, the consequences will be unpredictable but devastating for the whole region and far beyond. The international community and Russia, as a leading Caucasian power, will end up in an extremely difficult situation in the event of a renewed war. So, everything will be done to prevent this scenario."

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