France's Geopolitical Ambitions and its Plan for Armenia - ANALYSIS

The ongoing debates surrounding constitutional matters in Armenian society have sparked considerable controversy.

The topic of amending the Armenian constitution has been extensively deliberated for some time, with the underlying reasons for these discussions being openly articulated. This contention stems from certain revanchist forces portraying the amendment of the Armenian constitution as the country's impending capitulation, likening it to surrender.

Armenian society finds itself divided between those who endorse the claims of the revanchists and support their ideologies and those who oppose them. However, there exists a significant faction that approaches the issue of constitutional amendment from a logical perspective. Recognizing the dire situation facing their country, some understand that for Armenia to emerge from its marginalized position, engage in regional and international initiatives, and normalize relations with neighboring countries, a peace treaty must precede. Consequently, the amendment of the Armenian constitution is viewed as a fundamental and indispensable prerequisite for such a peace treaty.

Despite opposition from various quarters within Armenian society, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan remains steadfast in his commitment to amending the constitution. This persistence is evident, notwithstanding the significant opposition within Armenian society to these proposed changes.

It is worth noting that concerns about the amendment of the Armenian constitution extend beyond Armenian borders. France, ostensibly "worried" about such alterations, has made attempts to intervene in this matter. The apparent concern from France raises questions about why an entirely different country would be troubled by another country's constitutional modifications. This prompts speculation regarding the intentions or desires of official Paris in this regard.

Understanding the agitation of revanchist forces is relatively straightforward, as the amendment of the Armenian constitution undermines their own revanchist aspirations and ideologies. Viewing the amendment as a step toward resolving territorial disputes, these forces find it difficult to reconcile making territorial claims against neighboring countries while simultaneously advocating for peace. This inconsistency underscores the necessity for those advocating peace to first relinquish their territorial claims. Consequently, the amendment of the constitution, by addressing territorial disputes and subsequently facilitating the signing of a peace treaty, disrupts their activities and existence, leading to distress among revanchist forces.

French interference in the matter of amending the Armenian constitution, along with its apparent "concern," suggests that France is pursuing its own distinct strategy. This indicates that France is not necessarily defending the interests of revanchists but rather advancing its geopolitical ambitions through Armenia. Emmanuel Macron appears willing to sacrifice Nikol Pashinyan and his government, considering them obstacles to his own aspirations. Macron likely perceives Pashinyan as an impediment to his goals, as the Armenian prime minister has signaled his commitment to Armenian interests. Consequently, Macron's strategy may involve plans to eliminate this obstacle.

As Pashinyan opposes revanchists, Macron pledges support to them. This implies that the French president is unconcerned about the Armenian prime minister, viewing him as expendable in the pursuit of his own geopolitical ambitions. For Macron, removing Pashinyan, who currently impedes the realization of his interests, appears both straightforward and justifiable. Macron is likely considering the future of Armenia beyond Pashinyan.

The alignment of Armenian lobbying groups, the Armenian Church, opposition factions, and revanchists against Nikol Pashinyan is not coincidental. Macron's involvement in this matter further underscores the unity against Pashinyan. Macron may view removing the Armenian prime minister, who opposes revanchists and advocates for Armenian interests, as a feasible and justifiable step toward realizing his own geopolitical ambitions. In this context, the "finger" points clearly to France's geopolitical aspirations.

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