IMF forecasts for Azerbaijan's nominal GDP exceed government expectations

IMF forecasts for Azerbaijan's nominal GDP exceed government expectations

According to forecasts from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Azerbaijan's nominal GDP is expected to reach $78.87 billion in 2025, reflecting a real growth rate of 3.5%.

According to Report, looking ahead, the country's nominal GDP is projected to grow as follows:

  • $81.87 billion in 2026, with a real growth of 2.5%.

  • $85.79 billion in 2027, with a real growth of 2.4%.

  • $90.33 billion in 2028, with a real growth of 2.4%.

  • $95.37 billion in 2029, with a real growth of 2.5%.

In terms of the non-oil sector, Azerbaijan’s nominal non-oil GDP is forecasted to reach:

  • $55.69 billion in 2025 (an annual growth of 10.46%).

  • $60.35 billion in 2026 (+8.37%).

  • $64.96 billion in 2027 (+7.64%).

  • $69.90 billion in 2028 (+7.6%).

  • $75.24 billion in 2029 (+7.64%).

For 2025, the Azerbaijani government expects the GDP to be $75.99 billion, reflecting a 3.5% growth. In 2024, the economy grew by 4.1%, reaching $74.29 billion.

At the same time, non-oil and gas GDP experienced growth of 6.2%. However, in January-February 2025, the economic growth rate slowed to 0.2%, with non-oil and gas GDP growing by 1.7%.

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