After the fall of the Soviet Union, Azerbaijan’s relations with Iran started on a new tack, and Tehran was happy to see the new power vacuum in the Caspian region. Since then, the core problem in the Iranian-Azerbaijani relations is and remains the legal status of the Caspian Sea. Here, it’s not just about purely economic, but also geopolitical interests. Specifically, Iran regards Azerbaijan, being politically independent and gaining economic strength, whose foreign policy does not meet just expectations of the Iranian regime - the close cooperation established by Azerbaijan with the West, particularly US and Israel can be mentioned as an example - as a potential security risk from outside. Azerbaijan, in turn, is skeptical about Iran’s good relations with Armenia because the Christian neighbor has militarily occupied large parts of its territory including the Nagorno-Karabakh region in breach of international law since the early 1990s.
Another factor which still generates tension is historical: The division of Azerbaijan in the Turkmancay treaty of 1828 between the Russian and Persian empires has so far not been (and certainly not politically either) dealt with on both sides. In Iran, many in the political establishment still consider Azerbaijan as being a part of the historic Iran, which Russia had annexed by force at that time. On the other hand, in Azerbaijan, the way in which Azerbaijan was divided among the two empires at the beginning of the 19th century is still perceived as an historical injustice which has to be mended. In this regard, some political circles (especially in opposition) see even a possible war to be started by the U.S./Israel against Iran as an opportunity that could lead to the reunification of Azerbaijan. In addition, the high sense of injustice is permanently being kept awake by the fact that the Azeri minority living in Iran still does not own collective rights (especially education and media in Azeri language). Their estimated figures vary between 20 and 30 million.
Overall, it is not surprising that there are now and then crisis situations between two Muslim neighbors. What is new is that the recent tense relationship showed a cultural dimension in light of the further deterioration of bilateral relations duo to ESC held in May 2012 in Baku. Although in both countries Shiite Islam dominates, and historically they are closely linked, the diplomatic dispute over hosting the ESC in Azerbaijan once again shows today’s significant differences in socio-political values between the two countries. First and foremost: If Azerbaijan is being secularly governed, Iran is a theocratic state. With regard to foreign policy, Azerbaijan is oriented toward Europe and - in terms of values - also being measured with European standards as a member of European Counsel, whereas the theocratic Iranian government runs unabatedly an openly confrontational course against the West. Thus, in general, given this complicated constellation in the geopolitically sensitive Caspian region, the secular Azerbaijan needs today more than ever Western support on its way into the future.
Dr. Azar Babayev (Germany)